Fateh Al Msaddi
Fateh Al Msaddi 10,626

 

Dubai closed September 2025 with 20,127 property sales (+11.3% YoY) and ⃃ 54.3B in transaction value (+21.2% YoY). Price momentum remained firm with ⃃ 1,688/sqft (+9.7% YoY). The story of the month:

  • Off-plan apartments powered volumes;
  • Ready villas held up while off-plan villas cooled sharply;
  • Plots and off-plan commercial surged;
  • Mortgages fell, signaling a cash- and developer-plan-led market.

 

Market Highlights

  • Total Market: 20,127 sales (+11.3%), ⃃ 54.3B (+21.2%), avg. ⃃ 1,688/sqft (+9.7%).
  • Off-plan (1st sale): 14,932 sales (+14.8%), ⃃ 36.6B (+21.0%), ⃃ 1,761/sqft (+4.2%).
  • Resale: 5,195 sales (+2.3%), ⃃ 17.6B (+21.8%), ⃃ 1,474/sqft (+10.5%).

 

By Property Type (volume / YoY / value):

  • Apartments (total): 17,112 (+20.5%) | ⃃ 31.8B

    • Off-plan: 13,346 (+27.6%) | ⃃ 24.9B
    • Resale: 3,766 (+0.6%) | ⃃ 6.9B

  • Villas (total): 2,061 (–36.8%) | ⃃ 12.3B

    • Off-plan: 1,095 (–53.4%) | ⃃ 6.0B
    • Resale: 966 (+6.0%) | ⃃ 6.2B

  • Commercial (total): 514 (+46.0%) | ⃃ 1.5B

    • Off-plan: 259 (+245.3%) | ⃃ 744.5M
    • Resale: 255 (–7.9%) | ⃃ 771.6M

  • Plots: 439 (+66.3%) | ⃃ 8.7B

    • Off-plan +95% volume I ⃃ 5.0B;
    • Resale +42.8% I ⃃ 3.7B)

  • Buildings: 1 resale (–50%) | ⃃ 12M

 

Prices & Rents

Sale Prices (Median / YoY):

  • Off-plan Apartment: ⃃ 1.28M (–4.6%) — higher psf (+4.2%) with smaller average sizes.
  • Off-plan Villa: ⃃ 4.33M (+49.9%) — ticket sizes skewing up despite softer volumes.
  • Off-plan Commercial: ⃃ 2.23M (+43.0%).
  • Off-plan Plot: ⃃ 7.50M (+25.0%).
  • Resale Apartment: ⃃ 1.18M (+12.4%).
  • Resale Villa: ⃃ 3.80M (+11.8%).
  • Resale Commercial: ⃃ 1.60M (+7.7%).
  • Resale Plot: ⃃ 6.50M (+32.7%).

Price per Sqft (YoY):

  • Off-plan: Apartments +4.2%, Villas +6.7%, Commercial +39.1%, Plots +164.9%.
  • Resale: Apartments +10.5%, Villas +15.7%, Commercial +11.7%, Plots +31.4%.

Rents (Median / YoY):

  • Apartments: ⃃ 87K (+6.1%)
  • Villas: ⃃ 190K (+5.6%)
  • Commercial: ⃃ 75K (+10.3%)
    Implication: Yield support persists; apartment yields holding better than villa yields as villa prices outpace rents.

 

Demand Map — Top Performing Areas (by volume)

Off-plan Apartments:

Off-plan Villas:

Off-plan Commercial:

  • Wadi Al Safa 3 (62)
  • JVC (55)
  • Business Bay (31)
  • Motor City (24)
  • Wadi Al Safa 5 (17)

Off-plan Plots:

Resale Apartments:

Resale Villas:

  • Al Hebiah Fifth (116)
  • Wadi Al Safa 5 (97)
  • Dubai South (68)
  • Emirates Living (51)
  • Wadi Al Safa 7 (50)

Resale Commercial:

  • Business Bay (87)
  • Al Thanyah Fifth (65)
  • International City (35)
  • Al Thanyah First (14)
  • Nadd Hessa (8)

Resale Plots:

  • Saih Shuaib 1 (42)
  • DIP Second (9)
  • Jabal Ali First (8)
  • Al Merkadh (8)
  • DIP First (7)

 

“Big Ticket” — Top Areas by sales value

Off-plan Apartments:

  • Business Bay (⃃ 2.2B)
  • Mina Rashid (⃃ 1.7B)
  • JVC (⃃ 1.7B)
  • Trade Center 2 (⃃ 1.7B)
  • Al Barsha South 2 (⃃ 1.6B)


Off-plan Villas:

  • DIP Second (⃃ 1.4B)
  • Dubai South (⃃ 845M)
  • Al Yelayiss 1 (⃃ 767M)
  • Al Yufrah 1 (⃃ 634M)
  • World Islands (⃃ 400M)


Off-plan Plots:

  • Business Bay (⃃ 822M)
  • Dubai Hills Estate (⃃ 612M)
  • Jabal Ali First (⃃ 463M)
  • Nad Al Shiba 1 (⃃ 336M)
  • Mankhool (⃃ 268M)


Resale Apartments:

  • Dubai Marina (⃃ 967M)
  • Downtown (⃃ 872M)
  • Business Bay (⃃ 581M)
  • Palm Jumeirah (⃃ 559M)
  • JVC (⃃ 411M)


Resale Villas:

  • Palm Jumeirah (⃃ 877M)
  • Wadi Al Safa 5 (⃃ 420M)
  • Al Thanyah Fifth (⃃ 396M)
  • Al Hebiah Fifth (⃃ 391M)
  • Sports City (⃃ 320M)


Resale Plots:

  • Dubai Islands (⃃ 300.5M)
  • Al Jadaf (⃃ 238.5M)
  • Wadi Al Safa 3 (⃃ 221.5M)
  • DIP Second (⃃ 193.8M)
  • Saih Shuaib 1 (⃃ 169.1M)

 

Project Leaderboard

Best-selling off-plan apartments:

  • Damac Riverside (836 / ⃃ 1.1B)
  • Binghatti Hillviews (544 / ⃃ 607M)
  • Binghatti Skyrise (318 / ⃃ 578M)
  • Binghatti Aquarise (305 / ⃃ 513M)
  • Chelsea Residences by Damac (268 / ⃃ 754M)

Best-selling off-plan villas:

  • Damac Islands – Seychelles 2 (176 / ⃃ 532M)
  • Dubai World Central (167 / ⃃ 748M)
  • Grand Polo – Selvara 4 (75 / ⃃ 516M)
  • The Valley – Farm Grove (58 / ⃃ 295M)
  • Grand Polo – Selvara 3 (51 / ⃃ 358M)

Top resale apartment hubs:

  • Azizi Riviera (85 / ⃃ 77.8M)
  • Elite Sports Residence (75 / ⃃ 42.2M)
  • Mediterranean Cluster (33 / ⃃ 19.3M)
  • Sobha Hartland – The Crest (32 / ⃃ 67.1M)
  • Barton House (30 / ⃃ 20.6M)

Top resale villas:

  • Rukan 3 (22 / ⃃ 29.7M)
  • Maha Townhouses (19 / ⃃ 56.3M)
  • Mudon Al Ranim 1 (18 / ⃃ 61.5M)
  • The Pulse Beachfront 3 (17 / ⃃ 77.8M)
  • The Villa (15 / ⃃ 119M)

Highest apartment sales (price tags):

  • Aman Residences (⃃ 83.5M)
  • Casa Canal (⃃ 82.2M)
  • The Alba Residences (⃃ 70.2M)
  • Royal Atlantis (⃃ 63.5M)
  • Address Grand Downtown (⃃ 60.7M)

Highest villa sales:

  • World Islands (⃃ 200M)
  • Jumeirah Second (⃃ 185M)
  • Palm Jumeirah (⃃ 115M)
  • Al Merkadh (⃃ 110M)
  • Wadi Al Safa 3 (⃃ 44.8M)

 

Price Bands — Where demand clustered (units, % of segment)

  • Off-plan Apartments: 1–2M (6,351; ~majority), then <1M (3,600). Premium (3–5M: 969; >5M: 489) showing depth.
  • Off-plan Villas: Luxury-skewed — >5M (464) leads, then 3–5M (247) and 2–3M (243).
  • Resale Apartments: Broad mid-market — <1M (1,609) and 1–2M (1,156) dominate.
  • Resale Villas: Even spread across 2–3M (235), 3–5M (332), >5M (318).

(Percentages in source list look placeholder-low vs totals; we reference volumes for accuracy.)

 

Financing Pulse — Mortgages

  • Mortgage value: ⃃ 12.1B (–24.1% YoY)
  • Mortgage transactions: 3,795 (–9% YoY)

Read-through: Lower mortgage share and strong off-plan uptake point to cash buyers + developer payment plans carrying 1st-sale volumes.

 

Momentum & Seasonality

  • Off-plan apartments climbed month-on-month through Q3, peaking in September (13.5k).
  • Off-plan villas fell sharply from early-year highs; September 1,095 stabilizes after August dip.
  • Resale apartments stayed resilient (September 3,771, +9.1% MoM from August).
  • Preliminary October tallies are lower across categories (partial-month effect) — not trend breaks.

 

Multi-Year Context (September snapshots)

  • Off-plan Apartments: 2014→2025 volume 1,092 → 13,501 (+1,237%), value ⃃ 1.6B → 25.1B (+1,469%).
  • Resale Apartments: 2014→2025 volume 1,309 → 3,771 (+188%), value ⃃ 1.9B → 6.9B (+263%).
  • Off-plan Villas: cyclical; 2025 volume –53% YoY but median price +49.9% (mix shift to higher-ticket).
  • Plots: volumes/value rebounded strongly in 2025 (volume +66% YoY; value ⃃ 8.7B), with off-plan plots leading.

 

What This Means (DXBinteract read-through)

1) Apartments = demand engine.

Off-plan apartments continue to compound volume and value; developer pipelines and sub-⃃ 2M price points dominate absorption.

2) Villas bifurcating.

Off-plan villa volumes cooled (–53.4% YoY), but ticket sizes jumped; resale villas improved in both volume (+6%) and value (+21.9%), signaling end-user and upgrader depth at ready communities.

3) Land & commercial are back.

Plots (+66.3% vol) reflect bullish medium-term development, while off-plan commercial (+245% vol) shows confidence in SME and strata office/retail concepts.

4) Cash-led cycle.

Falling mortgage activity vs rising sales implies cash and developer plans steering the market; watch yields (rents still rising) and psf momentum for the sustainability check.

 

Strategy Playbook

For Buyers

  • End-users (apartments): Prioritize JVC, Al Barsha South, DIP Second, Wadi Al Safa 5, Business Bay for depth, handover pipelines, and rent support.
  • Villas: Consider ready stock in Al Hebiah Fifth, Wadi Al Safa clusters, Emirates Living where resale liquidity is healthy and rents are rising ~6%.
  • Investors (yield focus): Favor resale apartments in JVC, Dubai Marina, Business Bay with 12-month rent growth and strong secondary liquidity.

For Sellers

  • Apartments: Price to the 1–2M sweet spot to maximize enquiries; data shows it’s the demand bulk.
  • Villas: Lean on YoY median gains and area-specific comps; premium product still clears if guided by recent benchmarks.
  • Landholders: With plots value ⃃ 8.7B, now is prime to test the market—especially in Dubai Hills Estate, Nad Al Shiba 1, Jabal Ali First.

For Agents

  • Lead with evidence: psf gains, rent growth, and area leaderboards build conviction.
  • Map clients to payment-plan vs mortgage paths early (mortgage share down).
  • Track project velocity (Damac Riverside, Binghatti launches, Chelsea Residences) to place buyers into momentum inventories.